2012 Watch List #9

2012 fantasy football watch listLuck. Sometimes you have it, other times you can seem to buy any. In fantasy football you will take all the luck you can get. With many variables that cannot be figured into a season, luck is that tangent that makes your season a success or a failure. Statistics and predictions can get us only so far to take us the rest of the way we need a bit of lady luck with us.

It’s back to the wire we go this week after the 9th week of the NFL season. For many this is crunch time, the next few weeks will make your break your season as you look towards the playoffs (starting week 14 for many owners). If you have already made the playoffs you might start looking at matchups for weeks 14, 15 and 16. There might be some talent on the wire that could be a strong play.

As I look over numbers waiver wires right now, not many names jump out at me. It does get more difficult the deeper we go into the NFL season to find that “diamond in the rough” who could potential win you a week or put you over the top. It seems a week does not go by there are more injuries. In week 9 we saw more including, Darren McFadden (finally, right?). At least he made it through 9 weeks, but does have the dreaded high ankle sprain. Other names to hit the radar, Percy Harvin (sprained ankle), Donnie Avery (hip concussion), Jordy Nelson (sprained ankle), Donald Brown (knee), Bob3 (bruised ribs) and Tony Romo (back strain).

With that said, here is the watch list as we go into week 10 of the NFL.

QUARTERBACK

Other notables: None

RUNNING BACK (number in (#) represent targets)
Joique Bell DET 13-73-1, (4)3-36
Bell’s numbers might he a bit skewed since DET had a 21-0 lead, but outrushed Leshoure with 73 yards, adding 3 catches out of the backfield. Not a solid starter at time point in time, but he could post some worthwhile numbers. His week 9 numbers were all season best numbers. DET plays at MIN in week 10.

Marcel Reese (9)8-85-1
Injuries to DMC and Goodson made Reese the recipient of 9 balls thrown his way, including a TD. While he does average 4.9 YPC, he has only 1 rushing attempt on the season. Look at Taiwan Jones as the rushing prospect if neither DMC or Goodson can go in week 10 at BAL.

Taiwan Jones OAK 1-2, (1)1-4
Listed third on the depth chart, keep an eye on the injury report for DMC and Goodson. If neither can go, Jones is sure to get a bulk of the work. BAL is giving up good points to opposing rusher, might be a good showing if Jones gets the opportunity.

Other notables: Chris Ivory NOS 10-48-1, (1)1-2, Ronnie Brown SDG 6-38, (5)5-35, James Starks GBP 17-61

WIDE RECEIVER (number in (#) represent targets)
T.Y. Hilton IND (11)6-102-1
The injury to Donnie Avery could be the opportunity that Hilton needs in the Colts offense. Luck has been throwing well and Hilton might team nicely with Wayne in the upcoming weeks. Hilton set career highs in week 9. Indy plays at JAX in week 10.

Golden Tate SEA (6)4-28-2, 2-21
Tate is having a breakout season, now in his third year with Russell Wilson at QB. He grabbed 2 TDs in week 9 and has become a red zone option for Russell. Tate still struggles putting up consistent points, but has a favorable match up in week 10 vs the NYJ.
Other notables: Rod Streater OAK (10)4-54-1, Kevin Ogletree (4)3-96-1, Justin Blackmon (9)5-32-1, Donald Jones BUF (9)6-65

TIGHT END
Brandon Myers OAK (13)8-54-2
Myers scored his first 2 TDs of his career on Sunday, as well as a career high 8 catches. He also led the team with 13 targets. Carson has looked at Myers 26 times the last 3 games. Week 10 doesn’t get easy as OAK plays at BAL.

Other notables: Joel Dreessen DEN (4)4-38-1

2012 Watch List #2

2012 fantasy football watch listBefore I get to the 2012 Watch List #2 I need to make an early observation, based off comments I read this week. Have patience with your team, I don’t buy into the hype of a player emerging to the forefront of a week after only one game.

While that player’s performance will probably get them noticed on ESPN and the highlight reel, it will also get their name on the watch list. But does that mean I subscribe to the idea of immediately claiming that player off the wire or through free agency? No, I don’t. If any player who makes this list is available, I would pick them up only if they improved my team. I would not pick them to potentially trade them or as depth if I have to drop another player who could impact any given position.

With that said, here is the watch list as we go into week 2 of the NFL.

QUARTERBACK
Robert Griffith III (aka Bob3) 19-26-320-2 10-42
Another stellar performance by a rookie QB in his first game. Bob3 led the underdog Redskins past New Orleans, 40-32. He was 8-8 before tossing his first incomplete pass, later connecting with Garcon on an 88 yard TD. He also added 42 yards on the ground, making him a double threat on Sunday.

Other notables: Blaine Gabbert 23-39-260-2, 5-6

Russell Wilson SEA 18-34-153-1 8-20
Numbers not as strong as what we saw in the preseason, partially due to the fact he was limited on the ground by the Arizona defense. Could have made a better showing if he could have driven his team in for the winning TD when on the Arizona 4 yard line.

RUNNING BACK (number in (#) represent targets)
Alfred Morris WAS 28-96-2
The secret of the week, thanks to Shanny was Morris who the Redskins on the ground and was the best performing RB when compared to Helu and Royster. Take that for what it’s worth, when you are a RB in Washington you just don’t know what Shanny will do. Can’t argue with 28 carries, but the 3.4 YPC is a bit worrisome.

Dexter McCluster (10) 6-82
Kansas City uses McCluster like New Orleans uses Sproles. His contribution was seen in the second half as he became the go to player for Cassel. His totals could be a bit inflated due to the fact KC was trailing and trying to come back from such a deficit.

Jonathan Dwyer PIT 9-43, 2-11
With Mendenhall still sidelined, Dwyer and Redman split the carries, but it was Dwyer who looked the better options averaging 4.8 YPC. His performance could lead to a larger part of the RBBC in Pittsburgh.

Other notables: None

WIDE RECEIVER (number in (#) represent targets)
Kevin Ogletree DAL
As a WR3, he took advantage of the lack of coverage and the double teams of Bryant and Austin to be the top WR for Dallas opening night. Ogletree was targeted 14 times and caught 8-114-2 TD. Not buying the hype on him yet, he still is the third or fourth option (with a healthy Witten) in the Cowboys offense.

Stephen Hill NYJ (6) 5-89-2
Hill averaged 17.8 YPC in the rout of the Bills on Sunday. The rookie hauled in 2 TDs, both from Sanchez. A un-Jet like performance, based on the “ground and pound” strategy of Rex Ryan. Not sure if this is a new look Jets offense or just the Jets taking advantage of a soft Buffalo defense.

Jeremy Kerley NYJ (4) 4-45-1
Kerley scored twice in the game, on a 12-yard pass from Sanchez, followed by a 68-yard punt return in the second quarter. Not sure there is much fantasy value here, just a young player making the most of his opportunities. With Keller, Holmes and possibly Hill as better options Kerley might not have much fantasy impact at this time.

James Jones GBP (6) 4-81-1
Who’s hot on the Packers this week? Jones, who I suspect went undrafted in many leagues with the emergence of Jordy Nelson. Jones held without a caught the first half exploded in the second as he became Rodgers top target, hauling in 4 catches including a 10-yard TD catch. He averaged 20.3 YPC on Sunday.

Alshon Jeffery CHI (5) 3-81-1
Jeffery could be one of the more consistent players this season with the addition of Brandon Marshall to the Bears. Teams willing to double team Marshall will put the rookie in lighter coverage, which could be an advantage for Jay Cutler. He was still way behind Marshall in targets (15).

Other notables: Randall Cobb (9) 9-77, Cecil Shorts (7) 4-74-1, Andre Roberts (9) 5-54-1, Brandon Gibson (5) 4-51-1, Alderick Robinson (6) 4-52-1, Donald Jones, (7) 5-41-1

TIGHT END
Coby Fleener IND (10) 6-82
While Indy still lost their opening, the chemistry looked good between Luck and Fleener. Targeted 10 times, second to Reggie Wayne (18), Fleener made the most of his receptions including a long for 24 yard. Indy will be playing from behind much of this year, Fleener could represent a good candidate to keep your eye on.

Marcedes Lewis JAX (5) 5-52-1
Lewis looking to bounce back this year (0 TDs in 2011) started off the year strong catching ever pass that came his way on Sunday. He was Gabbert’s top target on Sunday, which rewarded him with a 1 yard TD in the second quarter. With young Gabbert at QB, Lewis could return to his 2010 form.

Other notables: Martellus Bennett (6) 4-40-1, Heath Miller PIT (7) 4-50-1