2012 Watch List #10

2012 fantasy football watch listThere comes a time in every season where you look at your team and wonder what COULD have been. Week 10 was that week for me. Looking over my team I believe it was a very well drafted team, but the big names are equating to big stats and more importantly…wins.

The wire is still a pertinent for many owners, as the moves continue at record breaking pace (in 3 leagues) and teams jockey for a playoff position with just 3 weeks of the regular season remaining (in many leagues). By now you have a very good idea if you will make the playoffs or miss out. For all teams, continuing to look ahead to the playoffs (weeks 14-16) could be rewarding depending on who’s available on the wire.

This week we see a few players returning to action. Danny Amendola, who was probably dropped in many leagues after his shoulder injury and some will be banking on Beanie Wells to inject a spark into the Arizona running game that has been dismay at best. More notable injuries this week that could pose problems in the weeks to come, Julio Jones (leg), Mike Vick (concussion), Alex Smith (concussion), Ahmad Bradshaw (head/neck) and Fred Jackson (concussion-like symptoms).

With that said, here is the watch list as we go into week 10 of the NFL.

QUARTERBACK
Russell Wilson SEA 12-19-188-2, 7-34
Not a great option at QB, if you are in need of one he has tossed multiple TDs in the last 3 games (and last 4 of 5) and has what looks to be some good match ups going forward. Seems to be developing a nice rapport with Golden Tate.

Colin Kaepernick SF 11-17-117, 8-66-1
Kaepernick came into the game in relief of Smith who exited with an injury. After a rough start, Colin settled in and made plays for the 49ers. With Smith’s status questionable for week 11 vs CHI, Kapernick might be an option, thanks in part to his running abilities.

Other notables: None

RUNNING BACK (number in (#) represent targets)
Chris Ivory NOS 7-72-1, 1-13
Ivory received only 7 carries, but the made the most of them with a 56-yard TD run. He has scored 2 TDs in 2 weeks now, but only managed 17 carries. It’s still an RBBC in the Saints backfield, but Ivory seems to carry some value with Sproles missing time. Looking at week 11 he could have a nice match up vs OAK.

Jacquizz Rodgers ATL 3-29, (4)4-33

Against one of the worst rushing defenses in the NFL, Michael Turner only managed 15 yards on 13 carries. Rodgers fared a bit better, but still only had 3 carries. He is active in the Falcons passing game, but still inconsistent and may not see more than 8-10 touches a game if Turner continues to struggle. Rodgers and the Falcons play ARI in week 11.

Beanie Wells ARI
Wells practiced for the first time last Wednesday since hitting the IR in September. While he is still a few weeks away from starting, he might be worth adding if you lack depth at RB. Unfortunately he will be looking at some very tough match ups; SEA, STL, CHI and SF.

Other notables: Daryl Richardson STL 7-58, (2)1-0, Danny Woodhead NEP 1-15-1, (6)4-46-1

WIDE RECEIVER (number in (#) represent targets)
Danny Amendola STL (12)11-102
After missing 3 games, Amendola returned as the top target for Bradford and the Rams. While the shoulder isn’t 100%, he put up some great numbers on his return. If he is on the wire, he should be grabbed. Week 11 STL faces the NYJ.

Danario Alexander SDG (7)5-134-1

High expectations for this kid in STL, but nagging knee injuries saw him out of football until a few week ago. Yesterday was a career game for Alexander vs TBB. He’s a big body, which is what Rivers might have been missing at the WR position. He is healthy now and has played well as the WR2 in San Diego. Might be worth an add in the pass heavy offense.

Cecil Shorts JAX (13)6-105-1

Shorts makes the watch list again with his second 100-yard performance in 2 weeks. He received a team high 13 targets vs Indy on Thursday including a 4-yard TD reception. He has been the most consistent receiver for JAX, week 11 he faces a stingy HOU defense.

Other notables: Golden Tate SEA (2)2-51-1, Donald Jones BUF (10)6-74-1, Jarius Wright MIN (5)3-65-1

TIGHT END
Scott Chandler BUF (8)5-65-1
Chandler has been irrelevant since week 4, posting 4 TDs to start the season. He returned to the endzone this weekend, which might be the start of another steak. Good match up vs MIA in week 11.

Other notables: Brandon Myers (7)5-57

2012 Watch List #9

2012 fantasy football watch listLuck. Sometimes you have it, other times you can seem to buy any. In fantasy football you will take all the luck you can get. With many variables that cannot be figured into a season, luck is that tangent that makes your season a success or a failure. Statistics and predictions can get us only so far to take us the rest of the way we need a bit of lady luck with us.

It’s back to the wire we go this week after the 9th week of the NFL season. For many this is crunch time, the next few weeks will make your break your season as you look towards the playoffs (starting week 14 for many owners). If you have already made the playoffs you might start looking at matchups for weeks 14, 15 and 16. There might be some talent on the wire that could be a strong play.

As I look over numbers waiver wires right now, not many names jump out at me. It does get more difficult the deeper we go into the NFL season to find that “diamond in the rough” who could potential win you a week or put you over the top. It seems a week does not go by there are more injuries. In week 9 we saw more including, Darren McFadden (finally, right?). At least he made it through 9 weeks, but does have the dreaded high ankle sprain. Other names to hit the radar, Percy Harvin (sprained ankle), Donnie Avery (hip concussion), Jordy Nelson (sprained ankle), Donald Brown (knee), Bob3 (bruised ribs) and Tony Romo (back strain).

With that said, here is the watch list as we go into week 10 of the NFL.

QUARTERBACK

Other notables: None

RUNNING BACK (number in (#) represent targets)
Joique Bell DET 13-73-1, (4)3-36
Bell’s numbers might he a bit skewed since DET had a 21-0 lead, but outrushed Leshoure with 73 yards, adding 3 catches out of the backfield. Not a solid starter at time point in time, but he could post some worthwhile numbers. His week 9 numbers were all season best numbers. DET plays at MIN in week 10.

Marcel Reese (9)8-85-1
Injuries to DMC and Goodson made Reese the recipient of 9 balls thrown his way, including a TD. While he does average 4.9 YPC, he has only 1 rushing attempt on the season. Look at Taiwan Jones as the rushing prospect if neither DMC or Goodson can go in week 10 at BAL.

Taiwan Jones OAK 1-2, (1)1-4
Listed third on the depth chart, keep an eye on the injury report for DMC and Goodson. If neither can go, Jones is sure to get a bulk of the work. BAL is giving up good points to opposing rusher, might be a good showing if Jones gets the opportunity.

Other notables: Chris Ivory NOS 10-48-1, (1)1-2, Ronnie Brown SDG 6-38, (5)5-35, James Starks GBP 17-61

WIDE RECEIVER (number in (#) represent targets)
T.Y. Hilton IND (11)6-102-1
The injury to Donnie Avery could be the opportunity that Hilton needs in the Colts offense. Luck has been throwing well and Hilton might team nicely with Wayne in the upcoming weeks. Hilton set career highs in week 9. Indy plays at JAX in week 10.

Golden Tate SEA (6)4-28-2, 2-21
Tate is having a breakout season, now in his third year with Russell Wilson at QB. He grabbed 2 TDs in week 9 and has become a red zone option for Russell. Tate still struggles putting up consistent points, but has a favorable match up in week 10 vs the NYJ.
Other notables: Rod Streater OAK (10)4-54-1, Kevin Ogletree (4)3-96-1, Justin Blackmon (9)5-32-1, Donald Jones BUF (9)6-65

TIGHT END
Brandon Myers OAK (13)8-54-2
Myers scored his first 2 TDs of his career on Sunday, as well as a career high 8 catches. He also led the team with 13 targets. Carson has looked at Myers 26 times the last 3 games. Week 10 doesn’t get easy as OAK plays at BAL.

Other notables: Joel Dreessen DEN (4)4-38-1

2012 Watch List #5

2012 fantasy football watch listWere you an owner that rushed to the wire this week to pick up some of the hot talent from the past weeks. For example, all the tight ends I have been listing busted this week; Pitta, Bennett and Rudolph didn’t fair well at all. Some of the attention was on the return of Jerome Simpson off suspension or Ramses Barden starting with the injury to Hakeem Nicks. For the most part many of the players I talked up, flopped. That’s fantasy football for you. Sometimes you get all the breaks, other times it breaks you.

One week does not make a season and many have heard guys, like Russ Bliss say this repeatedly on Fantasy Football Starters. You put week 4 behind you and start preparing for week 5, no reason to sit and wallow in your lose or struggles, but try to put the best players together for the upcoming week.

With that said, here is the watch list as we go into week 5 of the NFL.

QUARTERBACK
Ryan Tannehill MIA 26-41-431-1
Does it make you wonder if the Arizona defense is for real or not, as Tannehill put up good numbers on the road combining with Brian Hartline (see below). Unfortunately he is still turning the ball over too much, including a fumble and an INT yesterday. Given the match up be might be worthwhile for a BYE week cover, but not as a full time starter.

Kevin Kolb ARI 29-48-324-3
Teams struggle to run against the MIA defense, but find success through the air. Even Kevin Kolb put up his best numbers since making the move to the desert. Kolb was playing for he injured Skelton, no idea what The Wiz does when Skelton is healthy. He does have Fitz, but it was Andre Roberts was the man of the afternoon for Kolb. He should post good numbers in the Thursday night game vs STL.

Other notables: Matt Hasselbeck TEN 17-25-193-2

RUNNING BACK (number in (#) represent targets)
Brandon Bolden NEP 16-137-1 (1)1-11
I am sure many owners will rush to the wire to add Bolden this week. The rookie posted 137 yards and 1 TD. Remember this team is coached by The Hoodie and nothing is ever as it seems in the running game. Woodhead could make a strong showing next week for all we know, he had 15 touches in week 3, and none yesterday. So even though Bolden posted impressive numbers, I would not grab him for depth at this point. The Hoodie does like to run with multiple RBs, so this isn’t outside the norm for the Patriots.

Jackie Battle SDG 15-39-1 (4)4-42-1
Ryan Mathews still can’t hang on to the ball, thus the reason he found himself on the sidelines, as a spectator. Battle, who I have talk about before the season and mentioned in Watch List #3 came on in relief to score twice for San Diego. If Mathews continues to stumble, I see Battle as his replacement from here on out. He is a worthwhile addition to a roster, looks to be the piece of the running game SD lost when Tolbert moved to Carolina.

Other notables: Joique Bell DET 1-2 (8)6-72, Jacquizz Rodgers ATL 6-45 (4)4-40

WIDE RECEIVER (number in (#) represent targets)
Brian Hartline MIA (19)12-253-1
Mentioned after his week 2 performance, Hartline tops the list for WRs again this week with his 253 yard blow up vs Arizona. Targeted 19 times during the game by Tannehill he scored on an 80-yard TD pass. He is a viable starter in all formats as a WR3/4, should be available in many leagues.

Andre Roberts ARI (9)6-118-2
Roberts took center stage on Sunday as he caught 2 TDs vs Miami, including the TD that sent the game into overtime. Roberts has posted better games (4 TDs on the season) than receiving mate, Larry Fitzgerald. Not ready to put him on the same pedestal, but if Arizona’s passing game comes alive could be a worthwhile addition. He goes up against STL on Thursday.

Devone Bess MIA (12)7-123
When Marshall was in MIA, Bess was usually the recipient of good games, but now he is playing second fiddle to Hartline. Tannehill posted 400+ yards and both Bess and Hartline fared very well on Sunday. Bess is also worth owning at this point, posting over 200 yards the last few weeks.

Domenik Hixon NYG (11)6-114
With Nicks out, most of the attention was centered on Ramses Barden, after his performance in week 3. This week it was Hixon breaking out and putting together his second 100+ yard game and grabbing his 2nd TD of the season. Watch the Nicks news as we move into week 5, Hixon might be worth a flex option vs CLE.

Other notables: James Jones GBP (6)5-56-2, Donald Jones BUF (3)2-90-2

TIGHT END
Scott Chandler BUF (8)4-62-2
Another year, another hot start by Scott Chander who hauled in 2 TDs in Buffalo’s thumping at the hands of the Pats. On the season he now has 4 TDs and continues to receive a fair amount of targets through 4 games. Healthy, he is Fitzpatrick’s favorite target, especially in the red zone. Lots of TEs to chose from this year, he is just another young, hot player who is worth a look.

Other notables: None

KICKER
Greg Zuerlein STL (58,48,60,24)
The rookie out of Missouri Western State is perfect on the year, 12 for 12. This week he hit 4 field goals, including a 58 and 60 yarder. If you got hit with the late Kaeding scratch (groin), Zuerlein is one of the better options, he plays a majority of his games in a dome and should get plenty of field goal chances. This is the 4th week he has posted 2 or more field goals.

2012 Watch List #2

2012 fantasy football watch listBefore I get to the 2012 Watch List #2 I need to make an early observation, based off comments I read this week. Have patience with your team, I don’t buy into the hype of a player emerging to the forefront of a week after only one game.

While that player’s performance will probably get them noticed on ESPN and the highlight reel, it will also get their name on the watch list. But does that mean I subscribe to the idea of immediately claiming that player off the wire or through free agency? No, I don’t. If any player who makes this list is available, I would pick them up only if they improved my team. I would not pick them to potentially trade them or as depth if I have to drop another player who could impact any given position.

With that said, here is the watch list as we go into week 2 of the NFL.

QUARTERBACK
Robert Griffith III (aka Bob3) 19-26-320-2 10-42
Another stellar performance by a rookie QB in his first game. Bob3 led the underdog Redskins past New Orleans, 40-32. He was 8-8 before tossing his first incomplete pass, later connecting with Garcon on an 88 yard TD. He also added 42 yards on the ground, making him a double threat on Sunday.

Other notables: Blaine Gabbert 23-39-260-2, 5-6

Russell Wilson SEA 18-34-153-1 8-20
Numbers not as strong as what we saw in the preseason, partially due to the fact he was limited on the ground by the Arizona defense. Could have made a better showing if he could have driven his team in for the winning TD when on the Arizona 4 yard line.

RUNNING BACK (number in (#) represent targets)
Alfred Morris WAS 28-96-2
The secret of the week, thanks to Shanny was Morris who the Redskins on the ground and was the best performing RB when compared to Helu and Royster. Take that for what it’s worth, when you are a RB in Washington you just don’t know what Shanny will do. Can’t argue with 28 carries, but the 3.4 YPC is a bit worrisome.

Dexter McCluster (10) 6-82
Kansas City uses McCluster like New Orleans uses Sproles. His contribution was seen in the second half as he became the go to player for Cassel. His totals could be a bit inflated due to the fact KC was trailing and trying to come back from such a deficit.

Jonathan Dwyer PIT 9-43, 2-11
With Mendenhall still sidelined, Dwyer and Redman split the carries, but it was Dwyer who looked the better options averaging 4.8 YPC. His performance could lead to a larger part of the RBBC in Pittsburgh.

Other notables: None

WIDE RECEIVER (number in (#) represent targets)
Kevin Ogletree DAL
As a WR3, he took advantage of the lack of coverage and the double teams of Bryant and Austin to be the top WR for Dallas opening night. Ogletree was targeted 14 times and caught 8-114-2 TD. Not buying the hype on him yet, he still is the third or fourth option (with a healthy Witten) in the Cowboys offense.

Stephen Hill NYJ (6) 5-89-2
Hill averaged 17.8 YPC in the rout of the Bills on Sunday. The rookie hauled in 2 TDs, both from Sanchez. A un-Jet like performance, based on the “ground and pound” strategy of Rex Ryan. Not sure if this is a new look Jets offense or just the Jets taking advantage of a soft Buffalo defense.

Jeremy Kerley NYJ (4) 4-45-1
Kerley scored twice in the game, on a 12-yard pass from Sanchez, followed by a 68-yard punt return in the second quarter. Not sure there is much fantasy value here, just a young player making the most of his opportunities. With Keller, Holmes and possibly Hill as better options Kerley might not have much fantasy impact at this time.

James Jones GBP (6) 4-81-1
Who’s hot on the Packers this week? Jones, who I suspect went undrafted in many leagues with the emergence of Jordy Nelson. Jones held without a caught the first half exploded in the second as he became Rodgers top target, hauling in 4 catches including a 10-yard TD catch. He averaged 20.3 YPC on Sunday.

Alshon Jeffery CHI (5) 3-81-1
Jeffery could be one of the more consistent players this season with the addition of Brandon Marshall to the Bears. Teams willing to double team Marshall will put the rookie in lighter coverage, which could be an advantage for Jay Cutler. He was still way behind Marshall in targets (15).

Other notables: Randall Cobb (9) 9-77, Cecil Shorts (7) 4-74-1, Andre Roberts (9) 5-54-1, Brandon Gibson (5) 4-51-1, Alderick Robinson (6) 4-52-1, Donald Jones, (7) 5-41-1

TIGHT END
Coby Fleener IND (10) 6-82
While Indy still lost their opening, the chemistry looked good between Luck and Fleener. Targeted 10 times, second to Reggie Wayne (18), Fleener made the most of his receptions including a long for 24 yard. Indy will be playing from behind much of this year, Fleener could represent a good candidate to keep your eye on.

Marcedes Lewis JAX (5) 5-52-1
Lewis looking to bounce back this year (0 TDs in 2011) started off the year strong catching ever pass that came his way on Sunday. He was Gabbert’s top target on Sunday, which rewarded him with a 1 yard TD in the second quarter. With young Gabbert at QB, Lewis could return to his 2010 form.

Other notables: Martellus Bennett (6) 4-40-1, Heath Miller PIT (7) 4-50-1