2012 Watch List #11

2012 fantasy football watch listBy week 11 you should have a very good idea as to your chance to make the playoffs. For me, my seasons are over. Injuries, again this year, have keyed my failure. Even with advanced planning during the draft to select backups and keep a close eye on the waiver wire.

As we have seen in years past when teams have secured a playoff spot before the end of the year, some big name players might not get the sort of playing time you, as a fantasy owner expect. So while many owners headed to the post season are banking on a big playoff run, you might have to dial back your expectations and look to make a few moves in order to assure your run to the championship.

Much like last week we have another round of injuries that could have more players being picked up this week off the wire. Injuries include Willis McGahee (knee), Julio Jones (ankle), Dennis Pitta (concussion), LeSean McCoy (concussion), Donnie Avery (concussion), Issac Redman (concussion), Dwayne Bowe (concussion), Rob Gronkowski (broken forearm) and Blaine Gabbert (Elbow).

With that said, here is the watch list as we go into week 11 of the NFL.

QUARTERBACK
Chad Henne MIA 16-33-354-4
Henne had played in the last 2 games (in relief) for JAX, but put up career numbers yesterday in the overtime loss to HOU. He looked outstanding in relief of Gabbert who left with injury. Hard to say what happens if Gabbert is healthy in week 12 when JAX plays TEN. Gabbert could post another good day in week 12 if given the start.

Other notables: None

RUNNING BACK (number in (#) represent targets)
Beanie Wells ARI
The Cardinals running game has been horrid recently and Wells coming back in week 12 could be what they need. Keep an eye on the news surrounding Wells this week. His schedule isn’t great for the playoffs, so taper expectations.

Bryce Brown PHL 5-35
Brown might have just gained value after week 11 with the concussion to LeSean McCoy. He averaged 7 YPC on 5 carries and totaled 35 yards. If McCoy misses time, Brown will be the starter. Week 12 has PHL playing CAR.

Ronnie Hillman DEN 12-43, (2)2-16/Lance Ball DEN 6-35, (3)3-21
McGahee left the game as a precaution (knee) in the second quarter with Hillman and Ball seeing increased action while splitting time. It remains to be seen how DEN will use these RBs if McGahee misses time. Both would be worth a flex start vs KC in week 11.

Bilal Powell NYJ 11-42-2, (2)2-18
Powell posted a career high, 11 carries vs STL rushing for 42 yards and 2 TDs in the 4th quarter. Powell has the opportunity to overshadow Greene, who has largely been unimpressive this year. Look for Powell to spell Greene and try to gain a larger share of the workload as the season rolls on. Week 12 Powell could be considered a flex player vs NEP.

Justin Forsett HOU 7-59, (2)1-6
With HOU headed to the playoffs and Tate still injured, Forsett saw plenty of action for HOU on Sunday. He rushed 7-59 in relief of Foster. Depending on how HOU plays, Forsett could see an increased roll in order to save Foster and avoid injury. HOU plays Detroit on Thanksgiving.

Other notables: Jalen Parmele JAX 24-80, (3)3-3, James Starks GBP 25-74, (1)1-6

WIDE RECEIVER (number in (#) represent targets)
Danario Alexander SDG (11)7-96-2
A continued strong showing for the newest Charger and now seems to be on the same page as Rivers, something he hasn’t had with any WR this season. Alexander got his points in garbage time for San Diego, but fantasy owners don’t care. Alexander was targeted 11 times and hauled in 2 TDs. Good match up in week 12 vs BAL.

Justin Blackmon JAX (13)7-236-1
The rookie broke out for JAX yesterday posting career yardage with Henne at QB. Blackmon also found the endzone for only the second time this season and lead the team with 13 targets. With a reinvigorated offense, Blackmon could be a strong start next week vs TEN.

Cecil Shorts JAX (6)3-81-1
Shorts has come into his own this season, as the best WR in JAX. Shorts was overshadowed by Blackmon, but still hauled in 1 TD from Henne. In fact the offense posted great numbers with the injury to Gabbert. Viable starter in week 11 vs TEN.

Brandon Gibson STL (5)3-9-2
The stats aren’t impressive, but the fact he found the endzone twice is, which means Bradford is looking for him in the red zone. Amendola usually draws most of the attention, so Gibson could be worth a look. Next week STL playing ARI.

Other notables: Brandon Stokley (5)4-55-1, Devone Bess MIA (11)6-50-1, T.Y. Hilton (9)6-100-2

TIGHT END
Marcedes Lewis BAL
Lewis, like the rest of the offense benefited from Henne at QB. Lewis put up his best game of the year, finding the endzone twice, he had not scored since week 4. Look at Lewis only if Henne remains the starting QB.

Ben Watson CLE (8)4-47-2
Not sure why Weedon hasn’t looked to the veteran more than has this season. A sure handed TE was targeted a season high 8 times yesterday and posted his first multi-TD game of the year. At this point, his value is still low as he isn’t being used like in years past.

Other notables: Brandon Myers OAK (10)-6-55-1, Dallas Clark TBB (11)7-58-1, Garrett Graham HOU (9)8-82-2

2012 Watch List #4

2012 fantasy football watch listDepending on how your team is performing could determine how much you are using the waiver wire and picking up players during the week. For me, I made my first real claim (second transaction this season, picked up Zuerlein since Josh Brown didn’t win a spot) and picked up Dennis Pitta, TE BAL and started him in place of Fred Davis this weekend. With week 4 on the horizon, I now start looking at my roster and players who haven’t performed.

It could be a recent injury (CJ Spiller and Reggie Bush on Sunday) or an ineffective player on your roster that has you looking to the wire. This is the point in the season where I begin to consider my options, especially if reserve players haven’t been scoring well. There are quite a few adequate options this week, which saw more upsets in the NFL and more players make their name, but make a fantasy owner question, a one-week wonder or true diamond in the rough.

With that said, here is the watch list as we go into week 4 of the NFL.

QUARTERBACK
Shaun Hill DET 10-13-172-2 TD
Hill entered the game with 2 minutes to go in the game and put some some good stats after Stafford departed with an injury. He ended up tossing 2 TDs to Megatron and Young. More importantly he could be the starter pending the MRI on Stafford’s leg. Detroit is a pass heavy offense, might be worth the pick up to cover Stafford. Detroit plays the Vikings next week before heading into their bye week.

RUNNING BACK (number in (#) represent targets)
Tashard Choice BUF 20-95 (5) 2-8
First Fred Jackson, now CJ Spiller, Buffalo is down to Choice as their starter until Jackson returns. There will be an update on the injury today (Monday), but expect owners to be rushing to grab Choice for a 1-2 week start. With as active as Jackson and Spiller was, Choice could be a good pick up for week 4. Buffalo will face New England and San Francisco the next 2 weeks.

Daniel Thomas MIA 19-69-1 TD, (2) 1-11
More upside in Lamar Miller at this point, but Thomas should get a fair amount of work if the injury (knee) to Reggie Bush is significant. Expect Thomas to share carries with Miller.

Lamar Miller MIA 9-48
Miller had a 5.3 YPC with a long of 22 yards and ran better than Thomas. Might have a leg up on Thomas considering his fumble in the third quarter. Dolphins face a stout Cardinals defense in week 4.

Mikel Leshoure DET 26-100-1 TD, (4) 4-34
Returning from the Achilles’ tendon injured suffered last year, Leshoure did not hesitate to impress owners. There was some hesitation in starting with with possibility of limited carries but ended up shouldering the load of the work with 26 carries. Look for Leshoure to carry the load in DET after his week 3 performance. Must pick up if he is still available.

Other notables: Jacquizz Rodgers 10-32, (5) 5-35-1 TD

WIDE RECEIVER (number in (#) represent targets)
T.Y. Hilton IND (8) 4-113-1 TD
With Austin Collie suffering a knee injury, T.Y. Hilton stepped into the limelight yesterday vs JAX. He took advantage of Luck’s ability to spread the ball around. Y.T. is the quickest of the receivers in Indy, but might only be grabbed in deeper leagues. I still believe Avery is the better option over Hilton, but keep an eye on the Collie injury when Indy comes out of their week 4 bye.

Ramses Barden NYG (10) 9-138
Right now, Giants are the players to own. Barden is a 4th year player who stepped up Thursday vs Carolina. Barden started with the absence of Nicks (foot). Barden stepped up much like Victor Cruz did last year during week 3 and we see how that has worked out. With question marks around Nicks health, Barden is one to keep an eye on going forward, especially with the year Manning is having.

Andrew Hawkins CIN (4) 2-66-1 TD
Not the strongest showing this week for Hawkins, but that brings his yearly totals to (16) 12-208-2 TD over 3 weeks, not bad playing as the WR2 to AJ Green. I suspect Hawkins will continue to see success over the next few weeks facing JAX, MIA and CLE.

Damaris Johnson PHI (11) 5-84-1 TD
With both DeSean Jackson dinged and Jeremy Maclin inactive (hip) Johnson got the start vs Arizona on Sunday. He saw a team (and career) high 11 targets from Vick and averaged 16.8 YPC. Watch the status of Maclin before you grab Johnson. Philly plays division foes, the New York Giants in week 4.

Jerome Simpson MIN
Simpson has yet to play this year after serving a 4-game suspension after violating the league substance abuse policy. He is slated to he the startin ‘X’ wide out for Minnesota. Should be another good target for Christian Ponder and complete Percy Harvin very well.

Other notables: Devone Bess MIA (7) 5-86, Kendall Wright (11) 7-41, Brandon Stokley DEN (6) 6-73-1 TD

TIGHT END
Kyle Rudolph MIN (6) 5-36-2 TD
This is the second week Rudolph has been on the Watch List and he put together a very good game vs the 49ers on Sunday. He has become a big target for Christian Ponder. Currently a top 10 TE with (18) 13-138-3 TD. Must own and start at this point.

Heath Miller PIT (10) 8-60-2 TD
A bit of a surprise based on his numbers over the last few years, but Miller has scored 4 times in 3 weeks, 2 TDs yesterday vs Oakland. He is off to his best start in his career. With other big named TEs struggling, Miller could be an option, yet the presence of Wallace and Brown are still relevant in that offense.

Martellus Bennett NYG (7) 6-73-1 TD
Bennett was on Watch List #2 after back to back showings and 2 TDs. He put up another great outing last Thursday as the Giants offense is clicking. Currently he is a top 3 TE through 3 weeks and at the rate the Giants are scoring he is a must start as Manning has been spreading the ball around very well.

Other notables: None