2012 Watch List #6

2012 fantasy football watch listThe deeper we get into the fantasy football season, the more clear the picture should get. Unfortunate that does not seem to be the case this season. Injuries continue to wreck havoc for some owners, which in turn has them scrambling to find replacements. Injured this week Bob3, Jerome Simpson, Martellus Bennett, Cedric Benson, Jermichael Finley and Jimmy Graham to name some. Toss into the equation the start of the BYE weeks and that could leave some owners coming up just a bit short. My take on BYE weeks, you should have planned coverage during the draft, not via the waiver wire, but that is an old school philosophy

Week 5 is finishes tonight and you should have some idea how your season is shaping up. With approximately 8 weeks remaining even an 0-5 team or 1-4 team have a chance at glory. The wire also becomes a bit thinner as the season rolls along. Many names appearing are probably castoffs that have been added and dropped numerous times. That doesn’t mean you can’t find a gem to add to your roster, it just becomes a bit more challenging. At this point, you have some idea who is expendable on your team to drop, if you are struggling you might look at changing it up and taking a chance. BYEs in week 6; Carolina, Chicago, Jacksonville and New Orleans.

With that said, here is the watch list as we go into week 6 of the NFL.

Christian Ponder MIN 11-35-258-2-2 3-31
I see his name come up almost weekly now, asking if he should be played. He has struggled at times this year, but has tossed 6 TDs in his last 3 of 4 games and is still without an INT. MIN has WAS , ARI and TB in the next 3 games. WAS is dead last in FPPG vs the pass.

Kevin Kolb ARI
Arizona is coming off their bye week and Kolb was battered vs STL. Kolb came up just short of throwing for 300 yards in back to back games. Prior to the STL game he had 5 TDs in 2 games. Arizona has a nice match up vs BUF and Kolb could be a solid starter for a bye week cover as the Bills are near the bottom vs the pass.

Ryan Fitzpatrick BUF 16-26-126-0-1
>His performance vs SF was forgettable, so put it behind and look toward the Arizona Cardinals who have surrendered 572 yards and 3 TDs in their last 2 games vs the pass. Fitzpatrick continues to turn the ball over too much, but as a bye week cover could produce some good numbers in the desert.

Brandon Weeden CLE 22-35-291-2-2
Forget the home opener to start the year for CLE and Weeden hasn’t been too terribly bad. Like many rookies, he is making some poor decisions that usually result in a turnover. he has surpassed 300 yards passing twice this year and has 2 multiple TD games. Trailing as the Browns have been doing he is needing to throw. Browns travel to Cincinnati in week 6.

Other notables:

RUNNING BACK (number in (#) represent targets)
Rashard Mendenhall PIT 14-81-1 (3)2-20
He shouldn’t be on the wire, but if he is then take a stab at him. His initial start was better than the replacements of Dwyer and Redman had done.

Alex Green GBP 9-55 (1)1-8
Green gets a bump as Cedric Benson left the game in the first quarter with a leg injury. The numbers are a bit misleading, as 41 yards of his 55 came on a 41 yard run late in the game. Watch the news on Benson, but Green could be the starter in week 6, unfortunately the Pack players HOU.

Other notables:

WIDE RECEIVER (number in (#) represent targets)
Andrew Hawkins CIN (13)5-47
While some were probably expecting bigger numbers vs MIA, Hawkins was targeted 13 (team high) times in the game by Dalton. Still, he has not had that break out game but week 6 they play CLE at home. He is a nice option as a BYE week cover.

Randall Cobb GBP (4)4-82-1
Cobb has a big upside, but the consistency seems to be the missing piece. He caught everything thrown his way this week, which included a TD. Some of his success was due to the fact Greg Jennings was still injured and not playing. This is back to back good games for Cobb, watch the news on Jennings. GB plays at HOU in week 6.

Jordan Norwood CLE (9)9-81
Look a Browns wide receiver who actually caught the ball. Finished the game with a career high 9 catches, but was starting in part due to injured to Massaquoi and Benjamin. He has some upside headed into week 6 vs Cincinnati.

Kendall Wright TEN (11)9-66
Need a PPR wide receiver? Wright could be the “right” guy as he continues to get a good number of targets a week and posted games of 7 and 9 receptions in the last 2 of 3 games. He continues to be targeted due to the fact Kenny Britt is limited.

Robert Meachem SDG (4)3-67-2
I am not sold on Meachem, haven’t been since his move to SD. Part of the reason was no rapport with Rivers through camp and the early part of the season. He only had 9 catches headed into the game vs NO and probably played with a chip on his shoulder. Consider him a risky pick up due to his inconsistency.

Other notables: Josh Gordon (8)2-82-2, Devery Henderson NOS (10)8-123-1

Kyle Rudolph MIN (7)4-23-1
Rudolph continues a strong start to his rookie campaign as a favorite target, especially in the red zone for Christian Ponder. He scored his 4th TD on the year, but continues to be low on the yardage. He does bring a big upside in the number of red zone looks, he beats many of the TEs who are still under performing. MIN is at WAS in week 6.

Other notables: Heath Miller (5)4-41, Joel Dreessen DEN (4)4-21-1

2011 Top 10 RB Rankings (Early)

This is the third and final installment of the early top ten list for the upcoming season for the running back position. I have taken a look and listed my top ten at the quarterback and wide receiver position. Some of these players could potentially move up or down depending on schedule and the possibility of a rookie making an impact.

Albeit a bit late I take a look at the top ten running backs for the upcoming season. Just like the QB position I looked at their 2010 statistics, ranking them based on total fantasy points, yards, receptions, TDs, rating and their strength of schedule for 2011 based off 2010 records (courtesy of ESPN).

Foster, Arian: Break out year in 2010, with a healthy offense, no reason Foster won’t keep producing big numbers.
Peterson, Adrian: Consistent and still one of the best. He needs a QB in order to make him even more effective. No way do I pass on ADP.
Turner, Michael: Numbers down a bit in 2010, but if he is healthy, ATL has one of the best offensive lines and he will put up some good numbers.
Johnson, Chris: The QB issue worries me, as CJ is talented, but not sure all his talent can make up for 8 stacked in the box.
Charles, Jamaal: Better of the duo in KC, would love to see him get 250-300 carries, should put up more TDs in 2011.
Mendenhall, Rashard: Put together a solid 2010, but there is the potential for a let down post Super Bowl. I still like him in 2011.
Jackson, Steven: A durable runner/receiver who is very productive. Now he needs to find the end zone more.
McFadden, Darren: Big performer in 2010, always loses some games to injury, need 225-250 carries to put up similar numbers in 2011.
Green-Ellis, BenJarvus: Busted out in 2010 as an unknown and with Brady and the Pats offense should put up some solid stats.
McCoy, LeSean: This kid does it all out of the backfield, but sometimes is lost in the shuffle with all the talent on the offense.

Here are those who just missed out on the top ten list after being ranked, but could finish higher than their current position.

Bradshaw, Ahmad: He’s a FA, but as a Giant will split with with Jacobs, still could break 1000 yards in 2011.
Benson, Cedric: Unimpressive and inconsistent 2010 season, with questions at QB, Benson could end up suffering a decrease in stats.
Jones-Drew, Maurice: Came on late last season, was a bit short on TDs, but some good yardage. Knee surgery during the off season we’ll see how he looks in training.
Rice, Ray: Solid yardage, but lost out on the TDs to McGahee. I like Rice to bust out in 2011 with no one bogarting his TDs.
Forte, Matt: All or nothing for Forte last year, now past the sophomore slump, I expect more consistent numbers.
Hillis, Peyton: Injury to Hardesty gave him his shot and he capitalize. A healthy Hardesty cuts into Peyton’s production.

As with my other lists, there are names missing and players would could potentially move into the top ten. I believe Knowshon Moreno has the talent and offense (if Orton remains QB) to be a top ten player. Right now with question marks at QB, he doesn’t make this list.

I have no doubt Frank Gore will return from his hip injury in full fitness and potentially be a top five RB. But after missing a portion of last season I am not including him right now. LeGarrette Blount should be the main RB in Tampa Bay in 2011 and his stats should see a bump with the Caddy not parked, not playing a major role. Might be an outside candidate for the list, but I think he needs another full season, we’ll see.

Other notable players not listed, but could have some sort of impact; whoever rushes the ball in GB, be it Ryan Grant, James Starks or Brandon Jackson. All signs point to Grant who could return to prominence. Brandon Jacobs came on stronger in the later part of 2010, could get a good bump is Bradshaw departs NY. Lastly, Ryan Torain of Washington was a pleasant surprise last year with Portis done with the Skins, Torain will carry a bulk of the work.