Premier League: GW33 Retrospect

Lucky 7! That’s seven games in a row with a green arrow as GW33 draws to a close. It’s been a very good run over that period of time, but it hasn’t come without a cost, as in transfers. Looking over my gameweek history, it’s cost me 44 points (12 transfers) between GW25-GW33. A review of FPL Statistico shows I have gained 60 points from those transfers, with 30 points coming in GW29, when I brought in Alli, Sanchez and Valencia for Mane, Coutinho and Friend. Overall, an increase of 14 points, which I will call successful. While not the optimal strategy, I have gained nearly 800k places in the global rankings, now at 716k overall.

My hopes were dashed Sunday, as Hazard didn’t return against a stout Man United defense that absolutely bamboozled Chelsea’s offense. Hazard could not get in the game, shadowed by Herrera all match. His ineffectiveness meant I finished the week on 58 points, 12 points better than the average (46 points). Not captaining Kane cost a few points, but was confident in Lukaku returning, which he did.

Early Saturday morning I made the move to bring Jagielka to the starting XI. Who to drop? Valencia or Fuchs? A quick look of the schedule told me Leicester had more favorable fixtures and I honestly thought United would not clean sheet Chelsea, so Valencia was cut. The fact both Valencia and Fuchs were rotation risks didn’t factor in as both have UCL and EL games yet to play this coming week. Jagielka rewarded me with his third goal in 3 weeks with 3 bonus points, however Everton gave up 1 goal, finishing with 11 points and leading my defense. Mawson and the hot Yoshida made up my starting defenders, but combined for just 3 points. Fuchs, left on the bench contributed an assist, missing out on 4 points.

Between the sticks it was a tough call, Heaton away to Everton or Jakupovic on the road to Stoke. I decided on Jakupovic, as Everton has been good at home. Stoke got hot, scored 3 goals and I received a single point. Heaton finished with 2 points, gaining a save point. Moving forward, one or both of these goalies will be making way for new talent.

The midfield has been dominated by Spurs the past few weeks and I continued to play Alli and Eriksen. Each player finished with an assist and CS, while Eriksen gained a bonus point. Zaha and Hazard rounded out my starters, while both were in form, both had no returns. Walcott’s stay was short lived, just a single week as I can’t rely on Arsenal. Plans initially included Grosicki, but decided on a 3-4-3, which dropped him to the bench. He’s been good for Hull with 4 out of 5 assists at home. He will be making way soon, as soon as I finalize my DGW plans.

Up front I made the decision to move Ibrahimovic, with 19 points in his last 2 games it was a risk, but was confident in Kane coming in, off of injury. Ibrahimovic missed GW33, due to fatigue, which mean the switch to Kane paid off. The only thing that would have made this transfer stronger, given him the armband. Kane finished on a goal and assist with 3 bonus points for 12 points. Lukaku left managers a bit empty with just a goal. Based on my strategy, this is potentially the final time Lukaku will see the armband or be in my starting XI. Llorente returned for a full 90 minutes against Watford, but still could not deliver. Swansea, fighting to avoid relegation need him and Sigurdsson to step up and deliver.

With my WC activated in GW21, I am without for the run in, which is fine. I have been a bit of a transfer monger the past 12 weeks, so why stop now? If there are be points to be had, it’s going to cost me giving up some in order to forge ahead. I have spent the last 2 weeks working out a strategy that will take advantage of fixtures, form (hopefully) and the DGWs in GW34, GW36 and the big one in GW37. You can read my upcoming article as to how I will navigate the next 4 game weeks in order to take advantage of the DGWs and hopefully improve my global ranking and even push for the top spots in my mini leagues.

After the Monday fixture I dropped from 682k down to 716k in the overall rankings, but still gained a seventh green arrow. Without a doubt the worst game week in this run. Yet still an improvement over not making a transfer and holding the transfer fro GW34. The personal goal on the year is to achieve 2000 points, something I have accomplished in two of the last three years, with 2170 points scored last year. That number looks to be unreachable at this point, as I have to average over 102 points the next 5 game weeks. Possible? Sure, depending on the outcome of the DGWs, as GW37 would need to make up no less than 150 points.

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